The challenge for any entrepreneur is creating financial
projections when your business is not yet running on its own. Therefore, you do
not have any historical data to give you a better sense for future projections.
However, with a little market and industry research, you’ll actually have a lot
of data to work with to help you create realistic financial projections. Here
are some things to consider.
Use
your own industry experience
You may have worked at a similar business within the same
industry before striking out on your own. In this case, you will probably have
an idea of what realistic financial projections look like, how long it will
take to scale, what growth rate is ideal, and what profit margins are normal
within your industry.
Work
with an accountant who knows your industry
An accountant will know what type of expenses, sales, and
profits a well-run business in your industry can expect and will be able to
help you come up with realistic financial projections.
Do
market research to develop a sustainable business model
Industry associations and publications can help you compile
accurate financial data.
Look at publicly available information such as Census.gov to
better understand your target audience. Find assistance from small business
advisors and mentors, through SCORE or
your local Small
Business Development Center (SBDC).
You can also find industry data at BizStats and BizMiner.
And you can find sample financial projections at BPlans.
Be optimistic but realistic
Investors and lenders know that your financial projections
aren’t set in stone, but you do need to make sure they are realistic. Lending
institutions and investors have seen too many entrepreneurs who are overly
optimistic about their own businesses.
As a small business owner, your figures will be scrutinized by
banks and investors to ensure the business is legitimate and has the potential
to grow.
Finally, understand the types of financing you’re seeking with
your financial projections. Investors are more willing to take risks, as long
as you can prove your proposal is backed by hard data. Lenders, however, are
more cautious. They don’t need your business to be the next Google so long as
you are able to pay back the loan payments on time.
By carefully gathering information and striking a balance
between optimism and realism, you can create financial projections that not
only guide your business but can help you obtain the right type of financing as
you grow.
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